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New CO2 emissions rules pose fresh challenges for Europe’s auto industry

Auto manufacturers in Europe now face fresh challenges over new CO2 emissions rules.

David Leggett ((PHOTO: Twitter)

David LEGGETT, Automotive Editor at GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company , says tough time really awaits Europe’s auto industry following  new and tighter EU CO2 emissions rules for cars coming into effect in 2020

“For the industry in Europe, 2020 will be another hugely competitive
year with the added complication for the carmakers of factoring in push and pull for models according to new EU CO2 fleet average rules. They will be attempting to keep exposure to potentially very hefty fines as low as possible,” he said.

According to Leggett,  “From 2021, but phased in from 2020, the EU fleet-wide average emission target for new cars will be 95g CO2/km (the current level is
estimated to be in the region of 120g/km, making the target a serious challenge for the industry). In 2020, the emission targets will apply for each manufacturer’s 95% least emitting new cars. From 2021 on, the average emissions of all newly registered cars of a manufacturer will have to be below the EU set target.

He opined that “The European market’s shift away from diesel and the growth of
crossovers and SUV segments makes the aim of reducing fleet CO2 averages
in line with tighter targets much more difficult.”

According to him, “If the average CO2 emissions of a manufacturer’s fleet (vehicles sold
in EU) exceed its EU-issued target in a given year, the manufacturer has
to pay an excess emissions premium for each car registered. The company
penalty will be EUR95 for each g/km of target exceedance, fines that
could quickly mount up into billions of euros. Estimates suggest that
fines in Europe for car companies could total in excess of EUR30bn based
on the current composition of sales.

“Manufacturers face a big challenge to optimise their engine offerings
and model sales this year in order to avoid or minimise EU fines. With
overall European car demand flat or declining in 2020, meeting the EU’s
new CO2 rules will reinforce the tough operating environment for
automotive companies in the region and add to pressures on their global
level of competitiveness.”

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